The European Parliament has just published its assessment of the Afir regulation. One figure sums up the situation: out of 22,500 electric trucks in circulation in Europe, only 2,000 charging stations are actually designed for heavy goods vehicles. This gap comes as no surprise; it is a sign that the infrastructure is not keeping pace with the fleet. And yet the transition is here, concrete and irreversible.
22,500 electric trucks on the road in Europe
2,000 charging stations truly suited to heavy goods vehicles
20,000 HDV charging points targeted by 2030
The current situation: ambitious regulations, a reality that is falling behind
The objective of the AFIR (Alternative Fuels Infrastructure Regulation) is clear: to have 20,000 charging points dedicated to trucks by 2030, or one station every 60 km on the TEN-T network. Today, we are still a long way from reaching this target.
It's not that transport operators lack the will to do so. On the ground, fleets are being deployed, carriers are committing, and manufacturers are delivering. The transition from heavy freight to electric is real. But without reliable, robust infrastructure designed for the industrial realities of depots and logistics hubs, it is hitting a brick wall.
"The electric vehicle is step 1. The infrastructure that is operated, available, and optimized for TCO is the step that determines whether it really works at scale."
Why is the infrastructure not keeping pace?
The answer can be summed up in one sentence: electrifying a heavy-duty vehicle fleet is not just a matter of installing charging stations. It is an operational engineering process that begins well before the electric cable is even considered.
- 1. Understand actual usage: What routes? What daily mileage? What return times? Without this analysis, the infrastructure will either be undersized or over-invested.
- 2. Model network constraints: How much charging power is actually available at the connection point? What are the connection times? The upstream electrical network directly determines the architecture of the solution.
- 3. Optimize your energy contract: Which electricity rate should you choose based on charging times? The cost structure per kWh is one of the main variables in TCO. It can be negotiated and managed.
- 4. Scale for growth: The infrastructure must be able to adapt to the gradual growth of the fleet, without over-investing in year zero or becoming saturated in year three.
It is precisely to answer these questions that we have developed Elec Planner, our free simulator dedicated to truck and light commercial vehicle routes.
Elec Planner - Your fleet electrification simulator
Based on your actual operating constraints, Elec Planner generates a comprehensive cost analysis and a 10-year financial outlook.
- Analysis of your actual routes and mileage
- Modeling of charging needs based on your drop-off times
- Calculation of comparative TCO over 10 years (thermal vs. electric)
- Infrastructure sizing tailored to your growth
- Up to 35% reduction in mileage costs identified
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The Afir review: an event not to be missed
The Afir regulation is scheduled to be revised by the end of 2026. This will be a pivotal moment. It will need to incorporate new charging technologies, led by the MCS (Megawatt Charging System), and above all establish a clear regulatory framework to enable a massive acceleration in investment.
Today - 2,000 charging stations adapted for heavy-duty vehicles for 22,500 vehicles. Fleet deployment is outpacing infrastructure development.
End of 2026 - Revision of the Afir regulation. Integration of the MCS and new framework to accelerate investments.
2030 - Target: 20,000 HDV charging points, one station every 60 km on the TEN-T network.
The method that makes the difference
When it comes to light trucks and commercial vehicles, electrification cannot be based on approximations. It must be based on concrete data, a good understanding of usage patterns, and a clear vision of the total cost of ownership over time.Not over 12 months, but over 10 years.
The trucks are there. The momentum is there. What's still missing is the infrastructure and the tools to anticipate it correctly. That's exactly the problem we solve at Bump, every day, with transport operators.
Are you working on electrifying your routes?
Our Elec Planner simulator allows you to easily model your needs, identify cost reduction levers, and build an infrastructure plan aligned with the reality of your operation — free of charge, in just a few minutes.